Archive | July 2018

” Immigration puzzle – A Diagnostic Account ” – July 30, 2018.


Donald Trump and Giuseppe Conte address the press on July 30, 2018, after their meeting in the White House.

          ” US  President Donald Trump cited Italy’s hardline immigration policies as reason for PM  Giuseppe Conte’s visit to White House on July 30,  2018.”

          The inference I draw from his words is that both Donald Trump and Giuseppe Conte view the  “migrant crisis”  prevailing not just in Europe and America but all over the world as a precursor to a much larger problem unpredictable at this moment. 

          If globalisation has shrunk the  “cyber-borders” while promoting tech, people engagement, and prosperity;  it has also shrunk the  “physical-borders”  enabling and accelerating the physical movement of people making time and distance almost irrelevant.

          As any new technology brings with it some unanticipated evils, migration of people also brings some threats with it – many with potential to tilt the balance of social harmony.

          It is now a highly endowed political tool to weild deftly for winning elections.

          The spat between Republicans and Democrats over illegal immigration may just be the tip of the iceberg to a huge problem with potential to alarm the locals and even endanger the security situations in border areas.   

          While many may hold the view that immigrants stealing the jobs of nationals as the main problem,  Trump’s view fits to a good extent with our former Deputy PM,  LK Advani’s characterisation of it being a  “Security Threat”.

          If the  US  is affected by its long and varied observations of people pouring in from Mexico,  India has been embroiled in a migrant crisis with inflow of people from Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Myanmar  (recently)  mainly since the 1950s. 

          If the  US  holds the perception that the migrants tilt the balance of vote politics regionally and even nationally,  India too experiences the change and trials of life of its citizens economically and politically, in specially West Bengal.

          If the  US  perceived the need for strict border control for the good of locals,  India also shares similar perceptions while passing through the course of events which affect its citizens.

          While a majority of migrants are economic refugees, it is not completely free from anti-national elements. There are more than 29  m  illegal immigrants from Bangladesh alone in India. Most people settle in West Bengal, Assam,  ..  ..  and even have moved to cities like Bombay, Delhi, Bangalore  ..   ..  to Kerala where wages are low.

          The problems caused due to illegal migration are manifold  :

          (a)  Extreme difficulties to police in checking/tracking the real influx;

          (b)  Anti-national activities take origin, sprout, and spread to different areas in the country;

          (c)  Insecurity, panic, and even fear psychosis caused to locals (Sinha report);

          (d)  Anxiety and tension to locals even while causing a change in demographic patterns among residents;

          (e)  Infiltration of smugglers posing dangers;

          (f)  Risk by terrorists who use these immigrants as couriers and agents to carry out Anti-national activities.

          Options available to check illegal immigration are detailed below :

          –  (a)  Allow the present status to continue (this means no action which is not good);

          –  (b)  Keep the border completely open (this means granting a free licence which is dangerous);

         –  (c)  Deport all illegal immigrants while strengthening border security ( likely to cause politically induced resistance eventhough it seems logical and to an extent practical);

          –  (d)  Make illegal immigrants natural citizens ( long cumbersome process to track all; and conditions need to be formalised );

          –  (e)  Negotiated settlements and assistance to the poor nation for growth (good, but cannot solve the problem fully through life).

          So what is needed is a  judicious combination of measures applicable to individual nation(s),  according to the prevalent conditions in time.

          “Negotiated settlements”  and  “border fence erection”  constituted India’s mode and rule of accomplishing normal characteristics of the lives of people.

          –  Nehru-Liaquat  pact of 1950 sent 6 lakh migrants back to East Pakistan;

          –  Indira Gandhi- Mujibur Rehman  pact of 1972 caused  7  m  to return to Bangladesh. It permitted only those who entered prior to March 1971, while others were deported;

          –  Assam accord of 1985 (Rajiv Gandhi’s) provided for building a fence along Assam-Bangladesh border;

          –  Atal Behari Vajpayee government in 1998 awarded the construction of Indo-Bangladesh border barrier to stop migrants and illegal trade along the border.

          In Europe,  Hungary, Croatia, Slovenia, Italy, Denmark, Greece. ..  took serious measures to prevent undocumented migrants with some of these countries erecting a razor wire fence along the border.

          What has been worrying the US  and  European nations is the  ‘ trafficking of fake documents for ISIL’.  According to the Guardian report in 2017  ISIL had been paying the smugglers fees upto  $  2000 to child migrants to  ‘radicalise’  children for the group. Nearly 88300  children reported as missing run the risk of such radicalisation.

          Economic migration is beneficial and is also crucial to the growing labour market of the host nation –  according to the report by OECD.  And the report also adds that such migration is not the cause for disrupting the nation’s  GDP.

          Hence, it occurs to my mind that a 4 step process to tackle the problem may be in order :

          1.  Strict law enforcement and checking to detect illegal immigrants;

          2.  Increase border security agents/officers/personnel;

          3.  Use technology to monitor border ( Towers with sensors and drones to spot and counter movements);

          4.  Build a wall/fence along the border.

          Conclusion  : 

          Solving the problem of illegal immigration is now a priority to most nations due to the increasing political, social, and judiciary concerns. It is also the responsibility of every nation to safeguard it’s citizens and ensure for them a safe, secure, and spirited life. The above details in this piece are just diagnostic in nature to advance specific efforts through studies and procedures arriving at a better and practical outcome.


          Assignment. :

          Question 1.  Is there an universally accepted solution to the problem of migrant crisis ?

          Answer  :  No,  beyond my ken.

          Question 2.  Who is right and who is wrong?

          Answer  :  Everybody is right and everybody needs to do more.

          Question  3.  What is the best that can be done ?

          Answer  :   An  AI  study may probably help identify the best solution. Proprietary or choices.

          Try as long as you do not ask me to do it.


     “Dieu avec nous”

     Tuesday,  July  31,  2018  –  12. 59 p.m. (IST)

     Tidbit  :   Dominant terms used for immigrants  :   “Germany and Sweden use the term ‘refugee or asylum seekers’.   Italy and UK use the term ‘migrant’.   Spain  uses the term  ‘immigrant’. “




” Imran Khan on course to Create a New Pakistan ” – July 27, 2018.



Imran Khan


          This is the decade of new (first time) leaders in National Governance. Narendra Modi (India),  Donald Trump (U.S.A.),  Rodrigo Duterte (Philippines),  Emmanuel Macron (France),  Justin Trudeau (Canada),   Moon Jae-in (South Korea),  Giuseppe Conte (Italy),  Jacinda Ardern(New-Zealand),  Kolinda Grabar-Kitarovic (Croatia),.  ..  ..  ..

          Imran Khan, 65, of Pakistan is the latest in this star-spangled horizon of exceptional individuals. Unseating the three time PM, Nawaz Sharif, Imran seized the prizable symbol of Pakistan (post of PM) that he has been striving for nearly 22 years since launching his Pakistan Tehreek-e Insaf (PTI) party. A reward worthy of recognition for his endurance in Politics. As I write this, he has 114 elected seats out of the 137 needed for a simple majority, but this will not fail his taking charge as PM of Pakistan. He has allies and independents to support him.

          Most of the first time leaders who have acquired the positions of President or Prime Minister have been catapulted to power largely due to the apprehensive forebodings and an overwhelming distrust of the previous occupants (leaders). Imran Khan is no exception to this factor.

          –  Imran Khan’s promise is a “New Pakistan”;

          –  He promises to convert the PM house into an educational institution. (First time any State Leader has promised this, to my knowledge);

          –  He wants to develop better relations with India. ” If you take one step toward us, we will take two steps toward you”. He wants to hold constructive talks on Kashmir;

          –  He seeks to build mutually beneficial relationship with U.S.A. and Afghanistan;

          –  He wants to simulate China’s poverty alleviation and anticorruption policies;

          –  He wants to build a reconciliation role in Mid-east;

          –  “If God wills, we will set an example” – he avers.

          Imran Khan’s above words after sensing victory in the election (held on July 25, 2018)  reflect his genuine desire/eagerness to adopt a clear sense of purpose and to bring about a positive change in the economic and social good for the people of Pakistan.

          That this new government is willing to make fresh initiatives – political, economic, and social –  fashioning an impression of leading the nation on the right track and away from the perceived faults of the previous governments is common and usual.

          Rewards for these initiatives are three fold:  (a)  building strong relationships and forging new partnerships for peace, security, and prosperity;  (b)  economic growth coupled with industrial progress affording a new competing standard nationally and internationally;  and  (c)  enhancing the living standards of people as well as sustaining social harmony.  All noble ideals, no doubt.

          What will, however, be closely watched is the ‘energy’  that Imran Khan can bring to the task of honest and transparent governance, avoiding the manifold distractions inherent in Pakistani Leadership (policies) while strengthening growth and development of the nation. Analysts, media, and people will be watching keenly the kind of Coaching that Imran Khan lends to his ministers/aides/associates, as he did to the players during his glorious cricketing career. Together, these two factors will go a long way in transforming the “culture” of constructive and  productive march to progress and prosperity.

          I hold the strong belief that Imran Khan’s leadership will hinge on the “people space”  of the citizens. That he has been extremely popular since his cricketing days adds to this belief.

          I am also reminded of the ‘training program’ for the new legislators that the Indian PM conducted in Chandigarh in 2014,  within a couple of months of taking charge, that revealed his desire for details, analysis, and interpretation of issues  –  major and minor  –  impacting the national growth and development. It is worthy of emulation.

          That sports, music, and entertainment composites can unite people and elevate their spirit of comradeship is too well known.

          Imran Khan has the proven record of a great cricketer/leader affording lessons in leadership – unearthing and nurturing the varied talents of Wasim Akram,  Waqar Younis,  Mudassar Nazar,  Inzamam-ul-Haq,  Haroon Rashid even while raising the bar of his leadership by successfully handling the tempestuous Javed Miandad. He remained an accomplished Captain, Coach, and Mentor all rolled into one.

          This is what made each of the above cricketers under his tutelage a legend in their own way.

          Imran Khan can also benefit from the coaching recipe offered by Doug Pederson, Coach of Philadelphia Eagles Head. He advocated four principles for a successful approach to ‘culture’ of his team/organisation.  (1)  Create Energy everyday;  (2)  Eliminate Distractions;  (3)  Fear Nothing;  and  (4)  Attack everything ( i.e. get better everyday ).  Doug  Pederson created a winning team/organisation. Will Imran create a winning Pakistan ?  What is good for teams and organisations can be good for politicians too.

          Finally to the negative :  Pakistan army has often been held for its overbearance and imperiousness capable of laying a stymie as the history would reveal. Will the army be a stumbling block or a soaring stimulant under Imran Khan is what everyone (in the world) would like to follow. This is what will also decide the citizens of Pakistan to accept (or reject) what Imran Khan is about to take on from now. 

          History has, nevertheless, given an opportunity to Pakistan to shed all its past misgivings and turn the corner.


     ” Dieu avec nous “

     Friday,  July 27,  2018  –  11.09 p.m. (IST)

     Tidbit :  ” Leadership is the art of getting others want to do something you’re convinced should be done”.